Outbreak shows signs of leveling off in New York, New Jersey, but
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[April 07, 2020]
By Nathan Layne and Peter Szekely
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The governors of New
York, New Jersey and Louisiana pointed to tentative signs on Monday that
the coronavirus outbreak may be starting to plateau in their states but
warned against complacency as the death toll nationwide approached
Although coronavirus cases and deaths continued to mount, the governors
cited data suggesting the rates of growth and hospitalizations were
slowing, possibly signaling a peak was at hand in three U.S. epicenters
of the pandemic.
New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said statewide deaths from COVID-19, the
highly contagious respiratory illness caused by the virus, were up 599
from Sunday, on par with an increase of 594 during the previous 24 hours
and 630 on Friday.
The state's overall tally of confirmed cases grew by 7% from the
previous day to 130,680. But hospitalizations, admissions to intensive
care units and the number of patients put on ventilator machines to keep
them breathing had all declined, Cuomo said.
"While none of this is good news, the possible flattening of the curve
is better than the increases that we have seen," Cuomo told a daily
briefing, referring to the trend line formed when infections, deaths and
other data are plotted on a graph. "If we are plateauing, we are
plateauing at a high level."
For doctors, nurses and emergency personnel in the trenches of the
unprecedented public health crisis - many still coping with scarcities
of protective garments and other supplies - the pace of their work
"Yesterday, I worked 16 hours and I had 13 cardiac arrests, and that's a
lot of death," New York Fire Department Lieutenant Anthony Almojera, a
paramedic, told Reuters on Monday. "I don't know if any of us would ever
be the same after this."
New York City accounts for two thirds of nearly 4,800 deaths in New York
state, which in turn represents about 45% of the nation's total loss of
life to date.
In neighboring New Jersey, the state with the second-highest number of
cases and deaths, Governor Phil Murphy cited a 12% day-to-day growth
rate in confirmed positive cases on Monday, half the rate from March 30.
"Our efforts to flatten the curve are starting to pay off," he said, but
warned that a relaxing social-distancing rules would trigger a renewed
surge in cases that could yet overwhelm the healthcare system.
Louisiana Governor John Bel Edwards likewise expressed cautious optimism
about efforts to contain transmission of the virus in his state, also
among the hardest hit.
"New hospital admissions are trending downward," he told a news
conference. "But this will only become a trend if we keep mitigation
The rates of increase also appeared to be easing in Connecticut, where
Governor Ned Lamont said, "Our healthcare system is bending but not
In a glimmer of hope for the country as a whole, the latest research
model from the University of Washington - one of several cited by
leading health authorities - forecast 81,766 U.S. coronavirus fatalities
by Aug. 4, down about 12,000 from a weekend projection.
White House medical experts have forecast that between 100,000 to
240,000 American lives may be lost in the pandemic, even if sweeping
stay-at-home orders are heeded.
The tentative signs of progress sent U.S. stocks up sharply, with all
major indexes closing at least 7% higher on the day. Despite Monday's
bounce, the broad-based S&P 500 <.SPX> remained down more than 21% from
its Feb. 19 peak, compared with its March low, when it was off 30
percent from its apex.
Globally, deaths from COVID-19 have surpassed 74,000, with over 1.3
million cases, but there are also tentative signs it may be receding in
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A healthcare worker wheels a patient on a stretcher into the Wyckoff
Heights Medical Center during the outbreak of the coronavirus
disease (COVID-19) in the Brooklyn borough of New York City, New
York, U.S., April 6, 2020. REUTERS/Brendan Mcdermid
'PEAK DEATH WEEK'
U.S. fatalities, numbering 10,902 on Monday, were rapidly closing in
on Italy and Spain, the countries with the greatest loss of life to
date at more than 16,000 and over 13,000, respectively, according to
a Reuters tally of official data. The tally of all known U.S.
infections topped 360,000.
"It's going to be the peak hospitalization, peak ICU week and
unfortunately, peak death week," Admiral Brett Giroir, a physician
and member of the White House coronavirus task force, told ABC's
"Good Morning America" on Monday.
More than 90% of Americans were under statewide stay-at-home orders
issued in recent weeks, with South Carolina joining on Monday.
Political leaders and medical professionals have voiced alarm for
weeks over crippling scarcities of personal protective gear for
first-responders and front-line healthcare workers, as well as
shortages of ventilators, drugs and other supplies.
'HEROES' AND VENTILATORS NEEDED
Citing the dire needs of New York and elsewhere, California Governor
Gavin Newsom said his state would loan 500 of its ventilators to the
largely depleted Strategic National Stockpile of medical equipment.
California still faces a projected ventilator shortage of its own
next month, but Newsom said his state had enough to spare for the
Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti said new coronavirus cases in both
his city and surrounding county grew by 7% on Monday from the day
before, the first single-digit increase in either jurisdiction in
nearly three weeks. But he cautioned that California was still
bracing for a coming surge.
New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio said a shortage of medical
professionals was beginning to eclipse scarce equipment as the
city’s main difficulty, with an additional 45,000 clinical personnel
needed to get through April.
"We need these supplies, but we also need heroes to wear them," de
Blasio told reporters.
The city has reported more than 3,100 deaths, and it may resort to
temporarily burying the dead in a park, said Mark Levine, chair of
the New York City Council health committee.
"Trenches will be dug for 10 caskets in a line," Levine wrote on
Twitter. "It will be done in a dignified, orderly - and temporary -
manner. But it will be tough for NYers to take."
To help the city expand its COVID-19 patient capacity, plans are
under way to open a 400-bed temporary hospital in the nave of
Manhattan's Cathedral of St. John the Divine, the largest Anglican
cathedral in the world.
(Reporting by Nathan Layne, Peter Szekely, Barbara Goldberg and Dan
Whitcomb; additional reporting by Doina Chiacu and Susan Heavey, Dan
Whitcomb in Los Angeles, Sharon Bernstein in Sacramento, Calif., and
Brad Brooks in Austin, Texas; Writing by Daniel Trotta, Grant McCool
and Steve Gorman; Editing by Bill Tarrant,; Howard Goller, Cynthia
Osterman and Kim Coghill)
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