Social Security cost-of-living increase announcement delayed by
government shutdown
[October 15, 2025]
By FATIMA HUSSEIN
WASHINGTON (AP) — The ongoing government shutdown is delaying the
announcement of the annual Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for
tens of millions of beneficiaries.
Originally scheduled for Wednesday, the 2024 Social Security COLA
announcement will now be Oct. 24. It is timed to the September Consumer
Price Index, which also has not yet been released.
The agency adjusts its benefits every year based on inflation. The
postponement of the announcement is the most recent example of how the
government shutdown, entering its third week and with little progress
made toward a resolution, has made it more difficult for people to plan
out their finances.
Projections by Senior Citizens League and the AARP anticipate a COLA
increase of roughly 2.7%. About 70.6 million people, including retirees,
disabled people and children, get Social Security benefits.
Social Security Administration beneficiaries have voiced concerns that
next year's increase will not be enough to counter rising costs.
Sue Conard, a 75-year-old retired nurse from La Crosse, Wisconsin, and
SSA recipient, recently traveled to the U.S. Capitol with other retiree
members of the American Federation of State, County and Municipal
Employees union to lobby for meaningful progress towards gaining health
care protections to end the shutdown, as well as changes to Social
Security benefits.

She said she wants lawmakers to change the calculation on how the COLA
is determined since the standard CPI gauge, which includes a market
basket of consumer goods and services, doesn't take into account many
costs typical for older Americans.
“The issue of how the COLA is determined is flat-out wrong because
health care is not factored into the CPI," said Conard, speaking on the
front steps of the Longworth House Office Building.
Some lawmakers have proposed legislation that would make SSA use a
different index, called the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly
(CPI-E), to calculate the cost-of-living increase that measures price
changes based on the spending patterns of older people on things such as
health care, food and medicine.
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The Social Security Administration's main campus is seen in
Woodlawn, Md., Jan. 11, 2013. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky, File)

A collection of Democratic lawmakers has proposed legislation to
change the CPI calculation for COLA benefits to the CPI-E. Last
session, Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., proposed a law that would change the
COLA calculation, but that never got a hearing in the Senate Finance
committee.
AARP CEO Myechia Minter-Jordan said the COLA “isn’t just a source of
income — it’s a lifeline of independence and dignity, for tens of
millions of older Americans." But even with an adjusted COLA, a
majority of Americans still face challenges covering basic expenses,
she said.
Vanessa Fields, a 70-year-old former social worker and AFSCME member
from Philadelphia, said she pays roughly $1,000 per month for
groceries, more than in previous years. The COLA doesn't keep up
with rising costs, she said, “and we're going to be in bad shape if
lawmakers don't act."
The agency is expected to begin notifying recipients about their new
benefit amount starting in early December. A spokesperson for Social
Security who spoke on the condition of anonymity to preview the COLA
said retirement and Supplemental Security Income benefits would be
adjusted beginning Jan. 1, 2026, without any delay despite the
current government lapse in appropriations.
The delayed COLA announcement comes as the national social insurance
plan faces a severe financial shortfall in the coming years and as
the agency has seen substantial workforce cuts.
The annual Social Security and Medicare trustees report released in
June said the program’s trust fund will be unable to pay full
benefits beginning in 2034, instead of last year’s estimate of 2035.
If the trust fund is depleted, the government will be able to pay
only 81% of scheduled benefits, the report said.
In addition, the agency laid off at least 7,000 people from its
workforce of 60,000 earlier this year, putting pressure on the
remaining workers to handle claims and answer inquiries from a
rising number of recipients.
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